China Implements Provisional Anti-Dumping Measures on US and Mexican Pecans

On Sept. 25, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce of China issued Announcement No. 52 of 2025, announcing the initiation of an anti-dumping investigation into imported pecans originating from Mexico and the United States.

Based on the findings of the investigation and in accordance with Article 24 of the Anti-Dumping Regulations of the People’s Republic of China, the Ministry of Commerce issued its preliminary determination on Aug. 10. The ministry determined that imported pecans originating from Mexico and the United States were subject to dumping, that China’s domestic pecan industry had suffered material injury, and that a causal relationship existed between the dumping and the material injury.

In accordance with Articles 28 and 29 of the Anti-Dumping Regulations, the Ministry of Commerce has decided to implement provisional anti-dumping measures in the form of a deposit requirement. Effective Aug. 11, 2026, enterprises importing pecans originating from Mexico and the United States will be required to provide Chinese customs authorities with the corresponding deposits based on the rates determined for each company.

The deposit shall be calculated on an ad valorem basis using the dutiable value of the imported goods determined by China Customs. The calculation formula is as follows:

Deposit amount = (dutiable value of imported goods determined by China Customs × deposit collection rate) × (1 + import VAT rate).

The United States, the world’s largest pecan producer, is expected to maintain production at the previous year’s level, reaching approximately 130,000 metric tons. Production in Mexico, the second-largest producer, is forecast to decline by 4.5% to 111,250 metric tons. China remains the primary export destination for U.S. in-shell pecans, with shipments surging by 66% year on year, from 3.6 million pounds (1,633 metric tons) in the 2024/25 season to 6 million pounds (2,722 metric tons) in the 2025/26 season.

South Africa is also one of China’s major pecan suppliers, with 99% of its in-shell pecan exports going to the Chinese market. Supported by strong domestic demand in China, as well as China’s zero-tariff policy on agricultural products from 53 African countries, South Africa’s pecan exports to China are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions.

According to forecasts by the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council, global pecan production is projected to increase by 3.4% to 326,920 metric tons in the 2026/27 season. Meanwhile, China’s production is expected to grow significantly, rising by 89% to 11,700 metric tons and surpassing 10,000 metric tons for the first time. At the same time, the Ministry of Commerce of China’s preliminary finding that pecans from the United States and Mexico are being dumped is expected to create a more favorable market environment for domestically produced pecans.

Image: Pixabay

This article was translated from Chinese. Read the original article.